受(shou)氣候(hou)條件等有(you)利因素影(ying)響，小麥(mai)條銹病(bing)在我省擴(kuo)散迅(xun)速(su)。截至5月7日(ri)17時，全(quan)省見(jian)病(bing)面(mian)積2754萬(wan)畝。除青島、煙臺、威海以外的14市均有(you)發現(xian)，發生縣(市、區）達83個，范圍和(he)面(mian)積均超過(guo)大發生的1990年。魯西南(nan)、魯中、魯南(nan)普遍發生，多處擴(kuo)散流行階段，已(yi)出現(xian)二次侵染(ran)發病(bing)；魯西北、魯北點片(pian)發生。菏澤、聊城、泰安、濟南(nan)、臨沂、萊蕪、日(ri)照全(quan)市均有(you)發生，均發現(xian)超過(guo)每(mei)平(ping)方米超過(guo)100片(pian)病(bing)葉(xie)的發病(bing)中心。
菏澤最(zui)(zui)重(zhong)，見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)876萬畝(mu)，病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)100%，平(ping)均病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)1-7.5%，嚴重(zhong)地塊(kuai)14-36.5%；聊城見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)636萬畝(mu)，病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)已達100%，一般(ban)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)株(zhu)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)為0.1-0.5%；濟寧見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)465萬畝(mu)，病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)95%，平(ping)均病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)0.1%，；濟南見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)323.92萬畝(mu)，病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)86.7%，商河縣最(zui)(zui)重(zhong)，病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)100%；泰安見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)200.5萬畝(mu)，平(ping)均病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)75%，平(ping)均病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)0.3%，最(zui)(zui)高病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)12%；臨沂見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)128.5萬畝(mu)，嚴重(zhong)縣病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)80%以上，平(ping)均病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)5-10%，重(zhong)發(fa)地塊(kuai)發(fa)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)中心病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)葉(xie)(xie)(xie)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)達50%以上，一般(ban)縣區病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)田(tian)(tian)(tian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)10-40%;棗莊見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)49.5萬畝(mu)；濱州見(jian)(jian)病(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)(bing)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)17.6萬畝(mu)。
據(ju)山(shan)東(dong)氣(qi)(qi)象(xiang)臺預報，今夜(ye)(ye)到明天(tian)，魯(lu)南(nan)地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)有(you)小(xiao)雨(yu)局部中雨(yu)，魯(lu)中和(he)(he)半(ban)(ban)島南(nan)部地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)有(you)小(xiao)雨(yu)。8日夜(ye)(ye)間到9日白(bai)天(tian)，魯(lu)東(dong)南(nan)、魯(lu)中和(he)(he)半(ban)(ban)島地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)天(tian)氣(qi)(qi)陰有(you)小(xiao)雨(yu)轉多云。9日夜(ye)(ye)間到10日白(bai)天(tian)，魯(lu)西北的(de)東(dong)部、魯(lu)中的(de)東(dong)部和(he)(he)半(ban)(ban)島地(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)局部有(you)雷雨(yu)或陣(zhen)雨(yu)。氣(qi)(qi)象(xiang)條(tiao)件對(dui)條(tiao)銹病擴散非常有(you)利，條(tiao)銹病有(you)繼續東(dong)擴趨勢(shi)。
