當前(qian),華(hua)南(nan)(nan)(nan)南(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)早稻(dao)(dao)處(chu)于(yu)幼穗分化期(qi),華(hua)南(nan)(nan)(nan)北部(bu)、江(jiang)南(nan)(nan)(nan)和長江(jiang)中(zhong)游早稻(dao)(dao)及(ji)西南(nan)(nan)(nan)單季稻(dao)(dao)處(chu)于(yu)分蘗期(qi)。受近期(qi)降(jiang)水(shui)偏(pian)少(shao)影響,“兩遷”害蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)遷入量明(ming)顯偏(pian)少(shao),稻(dao)(dao)紋枯病(bing)和稻(dao)(dao)瘟病(bing)病(bing)情(qing)輕于(yu)上(shang)年,經防治二化螟田(tian)間蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)口密度得到有效控(kong)制(zhi)。據統計,全(quan)國水(shui)稻(dao)(dao)病(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)害累計發(fa)生面(mian)積5644萬畝次,同比減少(shao)24.2%。但下階段(duan)華(hua)南(nan)(nan)(nan)和江(jiang)南(nan)(nan)(nan)地區降(jiang)雨較前(qian)期(qi)有所增(zeng)強,溫(wen)濕條件(jian)利(li)于(yu)水(shui)稻(dao)(dao)病(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)發(fa)生,各地需保持警惕,密切(qie)關注田(tian)間發(fa)生動(dong)態(tai),及(ji)時發(fa)布病(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)情(qing)報,適(shi)期(qi)指導(dao)農(nong)民開展防治。
一、 稻飛虱(shi)
稻(dao)(dao)(dao)飛虱(shi)在(zai)華南、西(xi)南和(he)江(jiang)南稻(dao)(dao)(dao)區(qu)累(lei)計發生面積999萬畝次,是前2周的2.3倍,但同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)減(jian)少(shao)52%。據全國水稻(dao)(dao)(dao)病蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)監測區(qu)域(yu)站273個站點監測,5月中下旬稻(dao)(dao)(dao)飛虱(shi)主降西(xi)南南部和(he)華南西(xi)部稻(dao)(dao)(dao)區(qu),波及(ji)江(jiang)南西(xi)南部稻(dao)(dao)(dao)區(qu),廣西(xi)田林(lin)、龍勝、鳳山等地單(dan)日遷入蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)超萬頭;遷入蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)偏低,5月1-26日單(dan)燈單(dan)日平(ping)均(jun)誘蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)減(jian)少(shao)60%,比(bi)(bi)近(jin)5年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)減(jian)少(shao)75%,其中褐飛虱(shi)比(bi)(bi)例(li)32%,比(bi)(bi)上年(nian)和(he)近(jin)五年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)均(jun)增加(jia)26個百(bai)分(fen)點。田間(jian)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)較(jiao)上年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)(qi)偏少(shao)50%-80%,華南稻(dao)(dao)(dao)區(qu)百(bai)叢(cong)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)一般200-800頭,廣西(xi)沿海及(ji)桂東南、粵西(xi)局部蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)較(jiao)高,達(da)2000-3500頭,海南三亞個別田塊已“冒穿”;西(xi)南、江(jiang)南稻(dao)(dao)(dao)區(qu)百(bai)叢(cong)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)一般50-400頭,其中江(jiang)西(xi)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)(chong)量(liang)達(da)標時間(jian)較(jiao)常年(nian)偏遲10天左右。
二、 稻縱(zong)卷(juan)葉螟
稻(dao)(dao)縱卷葉螟在(zai)華南(nan)(nan)(nan)、西(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)和(he)江南(nan)(nan)(nan)稻(dao)(dao)區(qu)累計發生面積524萬畝(mu)次,是(shi)前(qian)2周的2.6倍,但同(tong)比(bi)減少35.8%。5月中旬(xun)以來(lai),西(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)東(dong)部和(he)華南(nan)(nan)(nan)西(xi)部稻(dao)(dao)區(qu)監測(ce)到遷入(ru)峰,廣西(xi)防城區(qu)5月13-17日連(lian)續5天燈下(xia)蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)超(chao)100頭(tou)(tou);據全國水稻(dao)(dao)病蟲(chong)監測(ce)區(qu)域站273個站點(dian)統(tong)計,5月1-27日燈下(xia)誘蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)同(tong)比(bi)減少33.5%。田間(jian)蟲(chong)量(liang)(liang)總體偏低,其(qi)中華南(nan)(nan)(nan)稻(dao)(dao)區(qu)畝(mu)蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)一(yi)(yi)般200-400頭(tou)(tou),桂南(nan)(nan)(nan)、粵(yue)西(xi)局部早插田塊蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)較高,為(wei)2000-5000頭(tou)(tou);畝(mu)幼(you)(you)蟲(chong)量(liang)(liang)一(yi)(yi)般2000-5000頭(tou)(tou),高的1-3萬頭(tou)(tou);江南(nan)(nan)(nan)稻(dao)(dao)區(qu)畝(mu)蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)一(yi)(yi)般30-150頭(tou)(tou),畝(mu)幼(you)(you)蟲(chong)量(liang)(liang)一(yi)(yi)般50-500頭(tou)(tou),其(qi)中湖南(nan)(nan)(nan)平均畝(mu)蛾(e)(e)(e)量(liang)(liang)、畝(mu)幼(you)(you)蟲(chong)量(liang)(liang)同(tong)比(bi)分(fen)別減少66%、36%。田間(jian)卷葉為(wei)害(hai)輕,大部早稻(dao)(dao)卷葉率低于(yu)1%。
三、 二化螟
二化螟在華南、西(xi)南、江(jiang)(jiang)南和長江(jiang)(jiang)中游稻區(qu)(qu)累計發(fa)生面(mian)積(ji)3105萬(wan)畝次(ci),同(tong)(tong)(tong)比增加(jia)1.1%,是(shi)前2周的2.3倍(bei)(bei)。今年(nian)江(jiang)(jiang)南稻區(qu)(qu)二化螟冬后基數(shu)大、田(tian)間(jian)蛾量高(gao),各地都高(gao)度(du)重(zhong)視,適時組織防控,有效壓低了(le)(le)田(tian)間(jian)基數(shu),畝幼蟲(chong)量一(yi)般(ban)(ban)800-4000頭,其中湖(hu)南平均3576頭,比上(shang)(shang)周減少(shao)了(le)(le)14%。但(dan)田(tian)間(jian)基數(shu)仍高(gao)于上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期,湖(hu)南、福建分(fen)別是(shi)上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期的2.2倍(bei)(bei)、2.3倍(bei)(bei),湖(hu)南邵(shao)(shao)陽(yang)、衡陽(yang)、邵(shao)(shao)東等局(ju)部地區(qu)(qu)蟲(chong)量超萬(wan)頭,安徽(hui)宿松最高(gao)達(da)65867頭。二化螟造成(cheng)的枯(ku)鞘株率一(yi)般(ban)(ban)2%-6%,湖(hu)南邵(shao)(shao)陽(yang)平均高(gao)達(da)9.6%;枯(ku)鞘叢率一(yi)般(ban)(ban)10%-45%,湖(hu)北咸(xian)寧(ning)對照(zhao)田(tian)不防區(qu)(qu)超90%,重(zhong)于上(shang)(shang)年(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)期。
四、 紋枯病
紋(wen)枯病(bing)在華南(nan)、西南(nan)、江南(nan)和長江中游稻區累計發生面積734萬(wan)畝,是前2周的4.3倍,但同比減少35.7%。當(dang)前紋(wen)枯病(bing)在南(nan)方早稻區病(bing)叢率一(yi)般2%-8%,桂(gui)東南(nan)發生較重,病(bing)叢率10%-25%,局部田塊高(gao)達40%-60%。
五(wu)、 稻瘟(wen)病
稻(dao)(dao)瘟(wen)病(bing)在華南、西南、江南和(he)長江中游稻(dao)(dao)區累(lei)計發生面積210萬畝次,是前2周的4.5倍,但同比減少(shao)4.3%。當前早稻(dao)(dao)稻(dao)(dao)瘟(wen)病(bing)平均病(bing)葉率一般1%-3%,高(gao)的5%-10%,江西泰和(he)、峽江、豐城、高(gao)安(an)、婺源等地局部(bu)田塊出現葉瘟(wen)“坐蔸”。
六、未來趨勢及建議
據中國氣象臺預報,未來(lai)十天,華(hua)南(nan)(nan)(nan)、江南(nan)(nan)(nan)和(he)西南(nan)(nan)(nan)地(di)(di)區(qu)東部將有一次強降(jiang)雨(yu)過程(cheng),部分地(di)(di)區(qu)有中到(dao)大雨(yu);未來(lai)11-20天,華(hua)南(nan)(nan)(nan)和(he)江南(nan)(nan)(nan)地(di)(di)區(qu)降(jiang)雨(yu)較前期(qi)有所增強,有利(li)于(yu)“兩遷”害(hai)蟲的遷入和(he)繁(fan)殖(zhi),同時(shi)不利(li)于(yu)水(shui)稻“兩遷”害(hai)蟲、螟(ming)蟲等水(shui)稻病蟲防控工(gong)作的開(kai)展。各地(di)(di)需(xu)加強監測,全面掌握病蟲發生(sheng)動態,及(ji)時(shi)準確發布病蟲情報,切實(shi)做好防控指導工(gong)作。
(病蟲害測報處)