最(zui)近，農藥原(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)價(jia)(jia)格漲勢強勁，使時值使用淡季的農藥價(jia)(jia)格在原(yuan)材(cai)料(liao)大幅漲價(jia)(jia)后也走出(chu)(chu)低迷(mi)，報(bao)出(chu)(chu)新高。
據(ju)介(jie)紹，因安(an)全環保(bao)(bao)監察力度加(jia)大(da)(da)，全國(guo)(guo)關停了(le)一(yi)批環保(bao)(bao)不(bu)過(guo)關的原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材料生(sheng)產企(qi)業，也有部分原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材料企(qi)業因水(shui)電氣漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)價(jia)，裝置開(kai)工不(bu)足，而(er)10月份(fen)以(yi)后，國(guo)(guo)際(ji)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)價(jia)格大(da)(da)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)使大(da)(da)宗(zong)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材料出口市(shi)場(chang)轉好，形成國(guo)(guo)內(nei)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材料市(shi)場(chang)缺口較大(da)(da)，價(jia)格急劇上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)，創出歷史新高(gao)。液氯從(cong)1200元(yuan)(yuan)（噸價(jia)，下同）上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)3100元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)達(da)(da)158%；甲醇從(cong)2600 元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)3100元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)達(da)(da)19.2%；硫磺從(cong)1400元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)1620元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)達(da)(da)15.7%；硫酸(suan)從(cong)9月份(fen)的380～500元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)650元(yuan)(yuan)以(yi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)。 從(cong) 11月上(shang)(shang)(shang)旬開(kai)始，國(guo)(guo)內(nei)進入農(nong)藥(yao)(yao)(yao)使用(yong)淡季，一(yi)般年(nian)份(fen)淡季農(nong)藥(yao)(yao)(yao)價(jia)格自然會下浮10%左右，但目前(qian)在原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材料價(jia)格大(da)(da)幅(fu)(fu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)后，不(bu)少企(qi)業原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)(yao)價(jia)格報出新高(gao)，如毒死蜱(pi)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)(yao)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)為(wei)3.1萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，現(xian)報價(jia)3.6萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，功夫菊酯(zhi)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)為(wei)15萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，現(xian)報價(jia)17萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，草甘膦原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)(yao)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)為(wei)1.9萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，現(xian)報價(jia)2.5萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，殺蟲單(dan)噸價(jia)從(cong)1.5萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)2.2萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)達(da)(da)46.6%，丙溴(xiu)膦從(cong)3.4萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)到(dao)4.6萬(wan)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)達(da)(da)35.3%。
原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)沖高后(hou)，因距使用旺季還有四五個(ge)月(yue)(yue)，購買者(zhe)(zhe)少，市(shi)場(chang)無法(fa)出現原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)采購熱潮，制(zhi)(zhi)劑(ji)生(sheng)(sheng)產(chan)企業多持(chi)幣觀望。以(yi)生(sheng)(sheng)產(chan)噻嗪酮(tong)、吡蚜酮(tong)、戊(wu)唑醇制(zhi)(zhi)劑(ji)出名的(de)江(jiang)蘇鹽城(cheng)雙寧農(nong)化有限公(gong)司負責人告(gao)訴(su)記者(zhe)(zhe)： “我(wo)們制(zhi)(zhi)劑(ji)企業要到(dao)明年(nian)1月(yue)(yue)份(fen)開(kai)始投入生(sheng)(sheng)產(chan)，現在高價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)購進原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)擴大庫(ku)存風險(xian)太(tai)大。”目前，大部分原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)生(sheng)(sheng)產(chan)企業沒有報價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，由于農(nong)藥(yao)(yao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上漲主要是原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材(cai)料價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上漲后(hou)拉動的(de)，廠家(jia)的(de)利潤空間不大。記者(zhe)(zhe)在各地采訪時了解到(dao)，許(xu)多原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)生(sheng)(sheng)產(chan)企業的(de)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)沒有提(ti)升，維持(chi)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，如(ru)吡蟲啉原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)9.2萬元(yuan)(yuan)，辛硫磷原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)2.1萬元(yuan)(yuan)，乙草胺原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)2萬元(yuan)(yuan)，百草枯原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)藥(yao)(yao)1.6萬元(yuan)(yuan)，都還是10月(yue)(yue)份(fen)以(yi)前的(de)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)。南(nan)通(tong)江(jiang)山農(nong)化公(gong)司產(chan)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)仍(reng)維持(chi)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，并未因原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)材(cai)料漲價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)而調價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，如(ru)96%敵敵畏原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油1.65萬元(yuan)(yuan)，97%精致(zhi)敵百蟲1400元(yuan)(yuan)。
據(ju)預測，2011年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)國農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)需求(qiu)總(zong)量(liang)為(wei)30.82萬噸(dun)（折百計(ji)），同比增幅為(wei) 2.69%。明(ming)(ming)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)上(shang)半(ban)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)市場將會(hui)走出熊市，農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)價格上(shang)漲是(shi)(shi)必(bi)然(ran)趨勢(shi)(shi)。這(zhe)是(shi)(shi)因為(wei)：1.今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)國內中(zhong)部(bu)和(he)北方地(di)區雨水偏多，農(nong)(nong)作物的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)病蟲害(hai)多發，越冬基數偏大(da)，導致(zhi)明(ming)(ming)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)防治壓力(li)加(jia)大(da)，用藥(yao)需求(qiu)增加(jia)。糧(liang)油、林果、蔬(shu)菜、藥(yao)材等使(shi)(shi)用高(gao)效、低毒(du)、低用量(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)將使(shi)(shi)除草劑(ji)、殺菌(jun)劑(ji)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)用量(liang)將明(ming)(ming)顯增多。2.據(ju)今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)第(di)七(qi)屆(jie)國際植保會(hui)議上(shang)傳遞的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)信(xin)息表明(ming)(ming)，2010年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)全(quan)(quan)球農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)市場增長(chang)3.4%，已擺脫2009年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)下降的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)陰霾，重(zhong)新(xin)回歸到前幾(ji)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)增長(chang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)軌跡上(shang)來。中(zhong)國的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)出口(kou)形勢(shi)(shi)看好，今(jin)(jin)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)1～6月(yue)中(zhong)國農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)出口(kou)總(zong)量(liang)比2009年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)同期(qi)增長(chang)13.5%，國外(wai)對(dui)中(zhong)國的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)除草劑(ji)和(he)殺菌(jun)劑(ji)有(you)較(jiao)大(da)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)需求(qiu)。3.原材料(liao)價格已上(shang)漲，糧(liang)價、農(nong)(nong)副產品、蔬(shu)菜成倍漲價。對(dui)于農(nong)(nong)藥(yao)生產企(qi)業(ye)(ye)來講，首先要(yao)不斷調整和(he)優化自(zi)己(ji)產品的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)組合，放(fang)棄(qi)一些沒有(you)市場潛力(li)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)產品。其次，要(yao)有(you)企(qi)業(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)價值觀，價格漲跌(die)和(he)銷售額的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增長(chang)當然(ran)重(zhong)要(yao)，但(dan)這(zhe)些只是(shi)(shi)最初級的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)，企(qi)業(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)發展(zhan)必(bi)然(ran)要(yao)實現(xian)自(zi)身價值觀的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)提升，這(zhe)就是(shi)(shi)企(qi)業(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)核心競爭(zheng)力(li)。（張為(wei)農(nong)(nong)）
