從調度情況看，今年江西省農資價格除早稻常規品種種子價格有所下降外，其他農資價格均有所上漲。據對省供銷社所屬農資企業調查，2月中旬，江西省批發價尿素(國產、含氮46%，下同)2250元/噸、三元復合肥(國產、45%，下同)2500元/噸、氯化鉀(進口，下同(tong))3300元/噸，分(fen)(fen)別比(bi)上(shang)年同(tong)期(qi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)7.14%、11.11%和10%。據2月28日省農業廳農情調度分(fen)(fen)析，全(quan)省國產(chan)尿(niao)素、進口氯化鉀、鈣鎂(mei)磷肥、45%含(han)量的國產(chan)復合肥每噸零售均價分(fen)(fen)別為2300元、3600元、670元、2850元，與去年同(tong)期(qi)相比(bi)，分(fen)(fen)別上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)5.7%、3.1%、11.3%、7.8%。雜交早(zao)稻(dao)種(zhong)子全(quan)省零售均價為28元/公斤，同(tong)比(bi)去年略(lve)降0.5%。主(zhu)要殺蟲劑、殺菌(jun)劑等農藥品種(zhong)價格(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅為1～5%不等；農膜、秧盤(pan)漲(zhang)(zhang)3%左(zuo)右，農用(yong)柴油漲(zhang)(zhang)4.7%。
預計今年(nian)江西省農資銷售(shou)量同比去年(nian)有所增加；農資受(shou)(shou)成本上(shang)升、需求增加影響，價(jia)格呈穩中略漲態勢(shi)。農資價(jia)格受(shou)(shou)受(shou)(shou)區域性(xing)(xing)、季節(jie)性(xing)(xing)影響，在(zai)使用高(gao)峰期價(jia)格可能有所上(shang)漲，之后(hou)會震蕩回落(luo)，在(zai)政府強有力的監管下(xia)，農資價(jia)格出現(xian)價(jia)格大幅波(bo)動的可能性(xing)(xing)較小。
3月(yue)6日-9日，據對宜春(chun)市袁州區(qu)、萍鄉市湘東區(qu)的實(shi)地調(diao)研(yan)，受連續低溫陰(yin)雨天(tian)氣影響，江西省農(nong)(nong)村春(chun)耕(geng)播種(zhong)(zhong)尚(shang)未真正開展，預(yu)計在本(ben)月(yue)底至(zhi)清明節前(qian)(qian)，全省將全面展開秈稻播種(zhong)(zhong)。從對當地農(nong)(nong)資(zi)批(pi)(pi)發商(shang)、零售(shou)(shou)商(shang)和農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)的調(diao)研(yan)看(kan)，目前(qian)(qian)，除供(gong)銷社(she)系統(tong)所(suo)屬農(nong)(nong)資(zi)企業(ye)化肥(fei)(fei)(fei)庫(ku)存(cun)(cun)保持較高水平外，私有(you)(you)(you)企業(ye)經營的農(nong)(nong)資(zi)批(pi)(pi)零商(shang)同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)往年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均沒(mei)有(you)(you)(you)太多的庫(ku)存(cun)(cun)，農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)購肥(fei)(fei)(fei)習慣也與往年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)有(you)(you)(you)所(suo)改(gai)變，即采(cai)取隨用(yong)隨買，沒(mei)有(you)(you)(you)任何肥(fei)(fei)(fei)料儲備(bei)，主要原因是前(qian)(qian)三年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)化肥(fei)(fei)(fei)價(jia)格波動導致(zhi)，農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)春(chun)耕(geng)備(bei)耕(geng)時買進化肥(fei)(fei)(fei)后，價(jia)格下跌。從今年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)開始，農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)不再(zai)提前(qian)(qian)儲肥(fei)(fei)(fei)。由于農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)購肥(fei)(fei)(fei)習慣改(gai)變，農(nong)(nong)資(zi)批(pi)(pi)零商(shang)的庫(ku)存(cun)(cun)同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)往年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)有(you)(you)(you)所(suo)下降，但供(gong)銷社(she)系統(tong)的儲備(bei)化肥(fei)(fei)(fei)同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)略有(you)(you)(you)增(zeng)長(chang)。從農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)詢價(jia)看(kan)，目前(qian)(qian)化肥(fei)(fei)(fei)價(jia)格同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)有(you)(you)(you)所(suo)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)，如尿素零售(shou)(shou)價(jia)格為(wei)115-120元(yuan)(yuan)/50公斤(jin)，同比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)10%左(zuo)右，國產復合肥(fei)(fei)(fei)零售(shou)(shou)價(jia)格約為(wei)150/50公斤(jin)，比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)同期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)7%。另據農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)反映，今年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)農(nong)(nong)村種(zhong)(zhong)糧(liang)雇工價(jia)格每(mei)天(tian)由去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的80元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)至(zhi)100元(yuan)(yuan)，農(nong)(nong)業(ye)機(ji)耕(geng)價(jia)格每(mei)畝由去(qu)(qu)(qu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的70元(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)至(zhi)今年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的100元(yuan)(yuan)，加上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)農(nong)(nong)用(yong)柴油也在上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)，農(nong)(nong)村種(zhong)(zhong)糧(liang)的農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)多為(wei)60歲(sui)左(zuo)右，種(zhong)(zhong)田的年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)輕人很(hen)少(shao)，種(zhong)(zhong)糧(liang)農(nong)(nong)民(min)(min)反應比(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)(bi)較強烈。
