近期(qi),廣東省成本調查隊對(dui)我省38個縣(市、區)、583個農(nong)(nong)(nong)調戶(hu)(hu)2008年(nian)預計購(gou)買(mai)農(nong)(nong)(nong)資情況進行(xing)了調查,調查結果顯示:農(nong)(nong)(nong)資價格特(te)別(bie)是化肥價格的(de)(de)快速上漲,使得農(nong)(nong)(nong)調戶(hu)(hu)農(nong)(nong)(nong)資投(tou)入量(liang)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加,戶(hu)(hu)均購(gou)買(mai)農(nong)(nong)(nong)資支(zhi)出(chu)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加明(ming)顯。今年(nian)戶(hu)(hu)均預計購(gou)買(mai)量(liang)與去年(nian)實際購(gou)買(mai)量(liang)相當(dang),略(lve)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)3.4%,但(dan)支(zhi)出(chu)金額增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加22.9%,戶(hu)(hu)均購(gou)買(mai)農(nong)(nong)(nong)資增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加支(zhi)出(chu)594.1元。以(yi)種植稻谷為例,化肥平均價格每(mei)上漲10%,農(nong)(nong)(nong)戶(hu)(hu)每(mei)畝的(de)(de)平均支(zhi)出(chu)就要增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加10.5元。
今年(nian)一季度農(nong)調戶戶均(jun)購(gou)買農(nong)資(zi)數量419公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),占全年(nian)計劃(hua)購(gou)買量31.2%。其中,化肥331公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),種子18公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),農(nong)用柴油1公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),農(nong)膜2公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),飼料64公(gong)(gong)(gong)斤(jin)(jin)(jin),分別占全年(nian)計劃(hua)購(gou)買量的32.3%、43.9%、20%、66.7%和24.9%,農(nong)資(zi)在一季度購(gou)買的比例都不高(gao)。
目(mu)前,所(suo)有的(de)化(hua)肥品種價(jia)格(ge)(ge)仍(reng)在上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)。今年(nian)(nian)一季度尿(niao)素(su)、碳酸(suan)(suan)氫銨、過磷酸(suan)(suan)鈣價(jia)格(ge)(ge)分別比(bi)上(shang)年(nian)(nian)同期(qi)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)17.1%、37.2%、39.3%。4月(yue)份,進(jin)入(ru)春播用(yong)肥高峰,化(hua)肥價(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)有加速(su)趨勢,4月(yue)16日尿(niao)素(su)和過磷酸(suan)(suan)鈣的(de)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)分別比(bi)3月(yue)底上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)12.2%和6.5%。因上(shang)年(nian)(nian)化(hua)肥漲(zhang)(zhang)價(jia)時已到(dao)年(nian)(nian)底,過了用(yong)肥高峰期(qi),所(suo)以今年(nian)(nian)的(de)化(hua)肥價(jia)格(ge)(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅將(jiang)會比(bi)較大。
據調查,2008年農調戶戶均計劃購買農藥量11公斤,與上年持平；支出金額約280元,比增12%。今年年初粵北山區長時間的低溫雨雪天氣,有利于病蟲害的防治。預計2008年病蟲害的危害與正常年份相當,用藥數量與上年持平。進入2008年,國際原油價格居高不下,且屢創新高,國內煤炭市場不見下跌的跡象,下游的農資生產企業成本上升,農藥等農資價格仍將呈現上漲趨勢,預計今年農藥價格上漲12%。
