1、種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子:全市(shi)(shi)(shi)主要(yao)農作(zuo)(zuo)物需種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)7500萬(wan)斤(jin),其(qi)中玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)用種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)5500萬(wan)斤(jin),水(shui)稻用種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)1000萬(wan)斤(jin),大(da)豆用種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)700萬(wan)斤(jin),其(qi)它(ta)作(zuo)(zuo)物用種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)300萬(wan)斤(jin)。今年(nian)長春市(shi)(shi)(shi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子生產(chan)總(zong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)充足(zu),品種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)齊全,質量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)優良(liang),價格平穩。經調(diao)度,僅長春市(shi)(shi)(shi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子生產(chan)企(qi)業就可提供玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子5800萬(wan)斤(jin),加上(shang)(shang)經銷業戶真接(jie)從外地調(diao)入(ru)的先(xian)玉(yu)(yu)(yu)335、鄭單958等玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子,總(zong)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)供大(da)于求。目(mu)前,種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子生產(chan)企(qi)業正(zheng)在大(da)批量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)地向經營企(qi)業放貨,少(shao)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子已經到(dao)(dao)戶,但比(bi)去年(nian)進度稍慢(man)。截止(zhi)2009年(nian)1月4日,已經入(ru)庫玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子3200萬(wan)斤(jin),占(zhan)計劃(hua)用種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)的58%。由于今年(nian)內蒙、甘肅等地制種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)基地在玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)授(shou)粉期間(jian)遇干熱災(zai)害,導致種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子減(jian)產(chan),畝產(chan)量(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)(liang)由上(shang)(shang)年(nian)的800斤(jin)下(xia)降到(dao)(dao)600斤(jin),收(shou)購價格已經上(shang)(shang)漲,導致部分(fen)玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)品種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)零售價格有(you)(you)所(suo)上(shang)(shang)漲。預計玉(yu)(yu)(yu)米(mi)(mi)(mi)種(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)子平均(jun)價格與(yu)去年(nian)比(bi)將略(lve)有(you)(you)提高(gao),平均(jun)每(mei)斤(jin)將由5.8元(yuan)上(shang)(shang)調(diao)到(dao)(dao)6.1元(yuan)。
2、化肥(fei)(fei):預計今年(nian)全市需化肥(fei)(fei)75萬噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)。目(mu)前全市現有化肥(fei)(fei)19萬噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun),占計劃的(de)25.3%。因經濟危機導致國際化肥(fei)(fei)原材料價(jia)格(ge)(ge)大(da)幅(fu)下(xia)降,成品(pin)化肥(fei)(fei)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)隨之大(da)幅(fu)下(xia)調(diao),但(dan)貨(huo)(huo)源十(shi)分充足。自9月份(fen)以(yi)來,省內化肥(fei)(fei)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)持(chi)續走低(di)(di)(di)(di),近二十(shi)天左右(you)有所趨穩。目(mu)前長春(chun)市化肥(fei)(fei)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)比(bi)去年(nian)同期明(ming)顯下(xia)降,二銨每(mei)噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)2800元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),比(bi)去年(nian)同期3900元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)降低(di)(di)(di)(di)28%;尿素每(mei)噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)1720元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),比(bi)去年(nian)同期2000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)降低(di)(di)(di)(di)14%;含量45%的(de)復混肥(fei)(fei)每(mei)噸(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)2400元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan),比(bi)去年(nian)同期3000元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)降低(di)(di)(di)(di)20%。受價(jia)格(ge)(ge)低(di)(di)(di)(di)迷影響,長春(chun)市化肥(fei)(fei)經銷(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)業購肥(fei)(fei)進(jin)度(du)相對較(jiao)慢,特(te)別是淡季已經儲備化肥(fei)(fei)的(de)企(qi)業,因化肥(fei)(fei)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)持(chi)續走低(di)(di)(di)(di),經濟效益蒙受損失(shi),相當一部分化肥(fei)(fei)經銷(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)業目(mu)前還在(zai)觀望(wang),不敢冒(mao)然進(jin)貨(huo)(huo)。預計化肥(fei)(fei)經銷(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)業進(jin)貨(huo)(huo)高(gao)峰(feng)將在(zai)春(chun)節前后。
3、農(nong)藥:預(yu)計今年(nian)全(quan)市需農(nong)藥3000噸左(zuo)右(you),價格與去(qu)年(nian)比基本持平,數量(liang)供給(gei)隨需隨進。
就農(nong)資市場而言,存在的突(tu)出(chu)問題(ti)是農(nong)資入(ru)戶(hu)與歷年(nian)同期(qi)比偏晚。主要原因(yin):一是由于種子、化肥供(gong)應充足,農(nong)民對價格下行仍(reng)有(you)期(qi)望(wang),買(mai)高(gao)不買(mai)低,持幣觀望(wang)現象比較普遍。二是春(chun)節(jie)后打春(chun),“春(chun)脖(bo)子”長,農(nong)民有(you)“趕趟(tang)不著忙”思想。三是糧食銷售(shou)進度慢,沒有(you)變現,很(hen)多(duo)農(nong)民手中(zhong)缺(que)錢。
專家建議
加快備耕生產進度。各級政府應把備耕生產納入重要工作日程,幫助農資經營企業落實采購資金,積極組織貨源,盡快啟動農資市場。要加強宣傳工作,引導農戶抓緊購種購肥,提早做好春耕前的各項準備工作。