據中國石油和化學工業聯合會統計分析，今年上半年，在國內外經濟環境十分復雜的情況下，我國石油和化工行業經濟運行保持了良好態勢，主要經濟指標均好于預期，并超過了金融危機前的最好水平，經濟增長的基礎進一步鞏固。其中，化肥增勢減緩，農藥增長強勁。
今年以來，由于南方多個省區相繼暴發旱災和澇災，化肥用量減少，導致國內化肥生產增速減緩。上半年全國化肥產量3397.2萬噸，同比增長6.4%，增幅較上年同期回落3.1個百分點，其中尿素產量同比下降0.5%。上半年農藥原藥產量134.4萬噸，同比增長17.5%，增速較上年同期加快7個百分點，其中除草劑增速達35.7%。上半年受自然災害頻頻、加之產能釋放較快、產量大幅增長、出口增長有限等多重因素疊加影響，國內化肥市場長期低位徘徊。價格監測顯示，上半年尿素市場均價為1716.67元／噸，同比下降6.06%；磷酸二銨均價為(wei)(wei)2800元／噸(dun)，同(tong)比下降(jiang)3.2%；國產氯化鉀均價為(wei)(wei)2730 元／噸(dun)，同(tong)比下降(jiang)26.97%，是降(jiang)幅最大的品種(zhong)之一。
目前國內市場需求增速放緩的跡象很明顯，受此影響，國內主要石油和化工產品的表觀消費量增幅也明顯回落，化肥回落5個百分點，硫酸回落近20個百分點。上半年，化工行業中部分子行業投資持續大幅增長，其中磷肥行業增幅(fu)(fu)達77.9%，化(hua)學礦采選(xuan)為(wei)(wei)52%，農藥行業增幅(fu)(fu)為(wei)(wei)32.6%，均超過石化(hua)行業投(tou)資平均增幅(fu)(fu)。
下半(ban)年(nian)(nian)影(ying)響行(xing)(xing)業(ye)經(jing)濟(ji)運行(xing)(xing)的不確定因素(su)會有(you)所(suo)增加，行(xing)(xing)業(ye)經(jing)濟(ji)增速將會明(ming)顯放緩(huan)，市場短期和局部的波動有(you)可能加大，但總體而言，行(xing)(xing)業(ye)經(jing)濟(ji)仍可實現平穩較快增長。預計全(quan)年(nian)(nian)化肥產量增幅(fu)在2.5%左(zuo)右；下半(ban)年(nian)(nian)，化肥市場將會略好于上半(ban)年(nian)(nian)，但低迷局面不會有(you)根本扭(niu)轉，特(te)別是氮(dan)肥行(xing)(xing)業(ye)，將會延續(xu)目前(qian)態勢。
上(shang)(shang)半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)，全國(guo)原油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)產(chan)(chan)量(liang)(liang)9847.8萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang) 5.3%；天然氣(qi)產(chan)(chan)量(liang)(liang)459.3億立方米(mi)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)10.8%，保持平穩較快(kuai)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)勢(shi)。原油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)加(jia)工量(liang)(liang)2.06億噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)17.9%；成品油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)產(chan)(chan)量(liang)(liang)（汽、煤、柴(chai)(chai)(chai)油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)合計(ji)(ji)，下同(tong)(tong)）1.22億噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)14.3%。上(shang)(shang)半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)，隨著(zhu)國(guo)際原油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格的上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)，國(guo)內(nei)成品油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格總體呈平穩上(shang)(shang)升走勢(shi)。0#柴(chai)(chai)(chai)油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)均價(jia)(jia)(jia)為 7305.85元／噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)26%；93#汽油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)均價(jia)(jia)(jia)為8571.64元／噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)23.6%。由(you)于(yu)國(guo)內(nei)經(jing)濟強勁(jing)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)，成品油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)銷(xiao)量(liang)(liang)大幅增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)。初步統計(ji)(ji)，上(shang)(shang)半(ban)(ban)年(nian)(nian)國(guo)內(nei)成品油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)銷(xiao)量(liang)(liang)11497萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)16.3%。其中，汽油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)銷(xiao)售量(liang)(liang)3507.8萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)10.34%；柴(chai)(chai)(chai)油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)銷(xiao)售量(liang)(liang)7423.9萬(wan)噸(dun)，同(tong)(tong)比增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)19.7%。與(yu)一季度相比，二季度原油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)表(biao)觀(guan)消(xiao)費量(liang)(liang)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)幅回落(luo)(luo)11個百分點(dian)，成品油(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)(you)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)幅回落(luo)(luo)6個百分點(dian)。預計(ji)(ji)三季度上(shang)(shang)述產(chan)(chan)品表(biao)觀(guan)消(xiao)費量(liang)(liang)還(huan)將進一步回落(luo)(luo)。
