預計2007年(nian)冬(dong)季(ji)(ji)(ji)至2008年(nian)春(chun)季(ji)(ji)(ji),全區平均氣(qi)(qi)溫接近常年(nian),2007年(nian)冬(dong)季(ji)(ji)(ji)可能會出現階段性低(di)溫。2008年(nian)春(chun)夏(xia)季(ji)(ji)(ji)平均氣(qi)(qi)溫偏高,冬(dong)春(chun)季(ji)(ji)(ji)降水(shui)量以(yi)偏少為(wei)主(zhu),夏(xia)季(ji)(ji)(ji)降水(shui)接近常年(nian)。
2008年小麥(mai)條(tiao)銹病(bing)預計(ji)在陰(yin)濕、半(ban)陰(yin)濕山區中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)流行(xing)、衛(wei)寧灌區中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)偏(pian)輕流行(xing),衛(wei)寧以北及干旱山區輕發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)或不(bu)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)150萬畝左(zuo)右;小麥(mai)白粉病(bing)全(quan)(quan)區大部分地區中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)流行(xing),局地陰(yin)濕密度(du)(du)大的(de)(de)田塊中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)偏(pian)重(zhong)(zhong)流行(xing),全(quan)(quan)區發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)100至150萬畝。水稻稻瘟(wen)病(bing)預計(ji)葉瘟(wen)病(bing)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)偏(pian)輕發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),直(zhi)播稻、密度(du)(du)大的(de)(de)田塊中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),穗頸瘟(wen)在感病(bing)品種中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)偏(pian)重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)50萬畝左(zuo)右。玉米病(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)害(hai)粘蟲(chong)(chong)預計(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),遇適宜氣候(hou)局地中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)度(du)(du)偏(pian)重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng),全(quan)(quan)區發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)130萬畝至150萬畝。 |