2009年11月29-30日，全國(guo)(guo)農(nong)(nong)技中(zhong)心(xin)組織(zhi)31省(sheng)（市(shi)、區）植保站、中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)農(nong)(nong)科院植物保護研究(jiu)所、中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)農(nong)(nong)業大學等(deng)(deng)科研和教學單位的專家(jia)對2010年全國(guo)(guo)農(nong)(nong)作物重(zhong)(zhong)大病(bing)(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)趨勢(shi)進行分析會商。根據會商結果，結合今(jin)冬(dong)氣候特點與因素綜合分析，預(yu)計2010年全國(guo)(guo)農(nong)(nong)作物重(zhong)(zhong)大病(bing)(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)害(hai)仍為偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)年份，總體程(cheng)度略重(zhong)(zhong)于(yu)上年；發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面積約為70億畝（次），總體與上年基本持平。其中(zhong)，稻飛虱(shi)、稻縱卷葉(xie)螟呈(cheng)嚴(yan)重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)態(tai)勢(shi)，稻螟蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)、小(xiao)(xiao)麥(mai)條銹病(bing)(bing)、馬鈴薯晚疫(yi)病(bing)(bing)和玉(yu)米(mi)螟等(deng)(deng)呈(cheng)偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)態(tai)勢(shi)，小(xiao)(xiao)麥(mai)赤霉病(bing)(bing)、稻瘟病(bing)(bing)、稻曲病(bing)(bing)、棉花(hua)枯黃(huang)萎病(bing)(bing)等(deng)(deng)有嚴(yan)重(zhong)(zhong)流行的潛(qian)在(zai)威脅，小(xiao)(xiao)麥(mai)吸漿蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)、棉盲蝽、水稻黑條矮縮病(bing)(bing)和南方黑條矮縮病(bing)(bing)在(zai)部分地區呈(cheng)加重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)趨勢(shi)，蝗(huang)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)、草(cao)地螟和棉鈴蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)等(deng)(deng)病(bing)(bing)蟲(chong)(chong)(chong)局部存在(zai)高密度發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)的可能。
一、小麥病蟲害
預計小麥(mai)病(bing)蟲害(hai)總體偏重發生，發生面積(ji)9.6億畝(mu)(mu)（次）。其中(zhong)，病(bing)害(hai)4.4億畝(mu)(mu)（次）、蟲害(hai)5.2億畝(mu)(mu)（次）。
小麥(mai)病(bing)(bing)害以條銹(xiu)病(bing)(bing)、白粉病(bing)(bing)、紋枯病(bing)(bing)為主(zhu)。其中(zhong)，條銹(xiu)病(bing)(bing)在四川西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)(bei)部(bu)、中(zhong)部(bu)及攀西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)地區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)、貴州西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)和(he)(he)(he)北(bei)(bei)部(bu)、云南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)、重慶、湖(hu)(hu)北(bei)(bei)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)和(he)(he)(he)北(bei)(bei)部(bu)、甘肅南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)及中(zhong)部(bu)晚(wan)熟麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)、陜(shan)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)和(he)(he)(he)關中(zhong)等地呈偏(pian)重流(liu)(liu)行(xing)(xing)態勢，湖(hu)(hu)北(bei)(bei)江(jiang)(jiang)漢(han)平原(yuan)、河(he)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、甘肅隴東、寧夏南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、青海東部(bu)、新疆(jiang)北(bei)(bei)疆(jiang)等地中(zhong)度(du)流(liu)(liu)行(xing)(xing)，河(he)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)中(zhong)北(bei)(bei)部(bu)、山(shan)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、山(shan)東西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、河(he)北(bei)(bei)中(zhong)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、新疆(jiang)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)疆(jiang)等麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)有偏(pian)輕(qing)流(liu)(liu)行(xing)(xing)的(de)可能，發病(bing)(bing)面(mian)(mian)積約4000萬畝。白粉病(bing)(bing)在河(he)北(bei)(bei)和(he)(he)(he)河(he)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)大部(bu)、陜(shan)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)渭北(bei)(bei)塬區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)、貴州西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、江(jiang)(jiang)蘇淮(huai)(huai)(huai)北(bei)(bei)偏(pian)重發生(sheng)(sheng)，華(hua)北(bei)(bei)、黃淮(huai)(huai)(huai)、西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)(bei)和(he)(he)(he)長江(jiang)(jiang)流(liu)(liu)域的(de)其他(ta)麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等發生(sheng)(sheng)，全國發生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)積1.2億畝。紋枯病(bing)(bing)在河(he)北(bei)(bei)中(zhong)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、山(shan)東半(ban)島(dao)和(he)(he)(he)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)部(bu)、河(he)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)、江(jiang)(jiang)蘇沿(yan)淮(huai)(huai)(huai)和(he)(he)(he)淮(huai)(huai)(huai)北(bei)(bei)偏(pian)重發生(sheng)(sheng)，華(hua)北(bei)(bei)、黃淮(huai)(huai)(huai)和(he)(he)(he)江(jiang)(jiang)淮(huai)(huai)(huai)的(de)其他(ta)麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等發生(sheng)(sheng)，西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)(nan)和(he)(he)(he)西(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)(bei)麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)偏(pian)輕(qing)及以下程度(du)發生(sheng)(sheng)，發生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)積1.2億畝。赤霉病(bing)(bing)在長江(jiang)(jiang)流(liu)(liu)域、江(jiang)(jiang)淮(huai)(huai)(huai)和(he)(he)(he)黃淮(huai)(huai)(huai)麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)有偏(pian)重流(liu)(liu)行(xing)(xing)的(de)潛在威脅。
小麥(mai)蟲(chong)害(hai)以穗(sui)期蚜蟲(chong)、麥(mai)蜘蛛、吸漿蟲(chong)為主(zhu)。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)，穗(sui)期蚜蟲(chong)在(zai)河(he)北、山(shan)東、山(shan)西(xi)中(zhong)(zhong)南部(bu)(bu)大發生(sheng)，黃淮海其(qi)他麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)、江(jiang)(jiang)淮、西(xi)南和(he)西(xi)北麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)偏(pian)重發生(sheng)，長江(jiang)(jiang)中(zhong)(zhong)下游和(he)新疆麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)(zhong)等發生(sheng)。全國(guo)發生(sheng)面積(ji)約2.4億畝(mu)。麥(mai)蜘蛛在(zai)河(he)北和(he)山(shan)西(xi)中(zhong)(zhong)南部(bu)(bu)偏(pian)重發生(sheng)，華北其(qi)他麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)、黃淮和(he)西(xi)北麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)、湖北和(he)四川盆周山(shan)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)(zhong)等發生(sheng)，其(qi)余(yu)麥(mai)區(qu)(qu)偏(pian)輕發生(sheng)。全國(guo)發生(sheng)面積(ji)約1億畝(mu)。吸漿蟲(chong)在(zai)河(he)北、天津、北京、河(he)南等地中(zhong)(zhong)等發生(sheng)，山(shan)東、山(shan)西(xi)、安徽(hui)偏(pian)輕發生(sheng)，陜西(xi)、甘肅、寧夏、青海等地輕發生(sheng)。全國(guo)發生(sheng)面積(ji)約3000萬畝(mu)。
部分主產麥區全蝕(shi)病(bing)(bing)、胞囊(nang)線蟲病(bing)(bing)、麥莖蜂、根腐(fu)病(bing)(bing)、黑穗(sui)病(bing)(bing)、病(bing)(bing)毒病(bing)(bing)、灰(hui)飛虱等病(bing)(bing)蟲發(fa)生危害(hai)呈(cheng)進一(yi)步(bu)上升趨勢。
二、水稻病蟲害
預計水(shui)稻病蟲害(hai)繼續呈嚴重發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)態(tai)勢(shi)，發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積13.9億(yi)(yi)(yi)畝(mu)（次）。其(qi)中(zhong)，蟲害(hai)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)10.1億(yi)(yi)(yi)畝(mu)（次），病害(hai)發(fa)(fa)生(sheng)3.8億(yi)(yi)(yi)畝(mu)（次）。
水稻(dao)害蟲以稻(dao)飛(fei)虱、稻(dao)縱(zong)卷(juan)葉螟和(he)二化(hua)(hua)螟為主(zhu)。其中(zhong)，稻(dao)飛(fei)虱在(zai)長(chang)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)以南(nan)(nan)大部(bu)稻(dao)區(qu)偏(pian)(pian)重至(zhi)大發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面積(ji)4.1億畝（次(ci)）。稻(dao)縱(zong)卷(juan)葉螟在(zai)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)南(nan)(nan)、長(chang)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)中(zhong)下游(you)、江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)淮、西南(nan)(nan)東(dong)部(bu)和(he)華南(nan)(nan)部(bu)分稻(dao)區(qu)呈偏(pian)(pian)重及以上程度發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面積(ji)3.3億畝（次(ci)）。二化(hua)(hua)螟在(zai)長(chang)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)中(zhong)游(you)大發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)南(nan)(nan)、西南(nan)(nan)中(zhong)北部(bu)和(he)東(dong)北部(bu)分稻(dao)區(qu)偏(pian)(pian)重發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面積(ji)2.3億畝（次(ci)）。三化(hua)(hua)螟在(zai)華南(nan)(nan)和(he)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)南(nan)(nan)等稻(dao)區(qu)偏(pian)(pian)輕(qing)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面積(ji)4100萬(wan)畝（次(ci)）。
水(shui)稻(dao)(dao)病(bing)(bing)害(hai)以(yi)稻(dao)(dao)瘟病(bing)(bing)、紋(wen)(wen)枯病(bing)(bing)和(he)(he)病(bing)(bing)毒病(bing)(bing)為主。其中，稻(dao)(dao)瘟病(bing)(bing)在(zai)西(xi)南(nan)(nan)(nan)、江南(nan)(nan)(nan)、華南(nan)(nan)(nan)和(he)(he)東北(bei)部分稻(dao)(dao)區偏重發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，如遇(yu)適宜氣候條(tiao)件，部分感病(bing)(bing)品種存在(zai)暴發(fa)流(liu)行的可能，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)8400萬畝(mu)（次）。紋(wen)(wen)枯病(bing)(bing)在(zai)全國大部稻(dao)(dao)區偏重發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)2.9億畝(mu)。條(tiao)紋(wen)(wen)葉(xie)枯病(bing)(bing)在(zai)長江中下游粳稻(dao)(dao)區和(he)(he)北(bei)方部分稻(dao)(dao)區呈中等至偏重流(liu)行，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)1300萬畝(mu)；黑(hei)條(tiao)矮(ai)(ai)縮病(bing)(bing)在(zai)江南(nan)(nan)(nan)、華南(nan)(nan)(nan)、江淮稻(dao)(dao)區呈發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)范圍(wei)擴(kuo)大、程度加(jia)重態勢(shi)。稻(dao)(dao)曲病(bing)(bing)、白(bai)葉(xie)枯病(bing)(bing)和(he)(he)南(nan)(nan)(nan)方黑(hei)條(tiao)矮(ai)(ai)縮呈加(jia)重發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)態勢(shi)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)范圍(wei)和(he)(he)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)會有擴(kuo)大。
三、玉米病蟲害
預計玉(yu)米(mi)病蟲害總(zong)體(ti)中等(deng)發生，發生9.8億畝（次）。其中，蟲害7.4億畝（次），病害2.4億畝（次）。
玉米(mi)蟲(chong)害以(yi)玉米(mi)螟、棉鈴蟲(chong)、粘(zhan)蟲(chong)、紅(hong)蜘蛛(zhu)等(deng)(deng)為主。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)，玉米(mi)螟全(quan)(quan)國(guo)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)達3.0億(yi)畝（次(ci)）。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)，一代(dai)玉米(mi)螟在黑龍江、吉林、遼寧(ning)、內蒙古等(deng)(deng)北方春玉米(mi)種植(zhi)區偏重(zhong)至大發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃(huang)(huang)淮海地(di)(di)區中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，其(qi)他(ta)地(di)(di)區偏輕(qing)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)1.4億(yi)畝；二(er)代(dai)玉米(mi)螟在東北南(nan)(nan)部(bu)偏重(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，華北、西南(nan)(nan)地(di)(di)區和新(xin)疆中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，其(qi)他(ta)地(di)(di)區偏輕(qing)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)9000萬(wan)(wan)畝；三代(dai)玉米(mi)螟在黃(huang)(huang)淮、西南(nan)(nan)地(di)(di)區中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，其(qi)他(ta)地(di)(di)區偏輕(qing)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)7000萬(wan)(wan)畝。棉鈴蟲(chong)在河(he)(he)(he)北、河(he)(he)(he)南(nan)(nan)等(deng)(deng)地(di)(di)中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)至偏重(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃(huang)(huang)淮其(qi)他(ta)地(di)(di)區、西北地(di)(di)區偏輕(qing)至中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)程(cheng)度(du)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，全(quan)(quan)國(guo)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)6900萬(wan)(wan)畝。粘(zhan)蟲(chong)在北方春、夏玉米(mi)種植(zhi)區和西南(nan)(nan)地(di)(di)區中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)至偏輕(qing)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，適(shi)宜成(cheng)蟲(chong)遷入和幼(you)蟲(chong)繁殖的(de)(de)雨水豐沛地(di)(di)區和長勢較好的(de)(de)地(di)(di)塊易造成(cheng)集中(zhong)(zhong)危害，全(quan)(quan)國(guo)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)5400萬(wan)(wan)畝。紅(hong)蜘蛛(zhu)在山西、河(he)(he)(he)北、寧(ning)夏偏重(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，其(qi)余華北、西北地(di)(di)區中(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，全(quan)(quan)國(guo)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)3200萬(wan)(wan)畝。
玉米(mi)病(bing)(bing)(bing)害(hai)(hai)以大(da)（小）斑(ban)病(bing)(bing)(bing)、褐斑(ban)病(bing)(bing)(bing)、絲黑穗(sui)病(bing)(bing)(bing)、紋枯(ku)病(bing)(bing)(bing)和粗縮病(bing)(bing)(bing)等(deng)為主(zhu)。其(qi)中(zhong)，大(da)（小）斑(ban)病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)(zai)川(chuan)(chuan)西和川(chuan)(chuan)南(nan)、黔北(bei)和滇西北(bei)等(deng)西南(nan)部(bu)(bu)分(fen)地(di)區(qu)偏重發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，西南(nan)其(qi)他地(di)區(qu)以及(ji)山西、河(he)(he)(he)北(bei)、河(he)(he)(he)南(nan)、安徽、黑龍(long)江、吉林中(zhong)等(deng)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)。全(quan)國發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)(ji)8700萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。褐斑(ban)病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)(zai)河(he)(he)(he)北(bei)、河(he)(he)(he)南(nan)、山東(dong)中(zhong)西部(bu)(bu)、安徽東(dong)北(bei)部(bu)(bu)等(deng)黃(huang)淮夏玉米(mi)種(zhong)植區(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)至偏重程度(du)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)；全(quan)國發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)(ji)3200萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。絲黑穗(sui)病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)(zai)東(dong)北(bei)三省中(zhong)等(deng)至偏重程度(du)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，全(quan)國發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)(ji)2500萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。紋枯(ku)病(bing)(bing)(bing)主(zhu)要(yao)在(zai)(zai)(zai)黃(huang)淮、西南(nan)地(di)區(qu)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，全(quan)國發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)別(bie)為2000萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。由于灰飛虱的集中(zhong)轉移傳播(bo)，玉米(mi)粗縮病(bing)(bing)(bing)可(ke)能在(zai)(zai)(zai)山東(dong)、河(he)(he)(he)南(nan)東(dong)北(bei)部(bu)(bu)、江蘇淮北(bei)和沿(yan)海地(di)區(qu)造成(cheng)較重危(wei)害(hai)(hai)。全(quan)國發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積(ji)(ji)(ji)約(yue)1200萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。
四、棉花病蟲害
預計(ji)棉花病蟲害總體呈中等(deng)發(fa)(fa)生態勢，發(fa)(fa)生面積約(yue)為3.8億畝(mu)次。其中，蟲害發(fa)(fa)生3.1億畝(mu)（次），病害發(fa)(fa)生6800萬畝(mu)（次）。
棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)蟲(chong)害(hai)(hai)以棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)鈴蟲(chong)、棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)蚜、棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)花(hua)葉螨(man)(man)、棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)盲(mang)(mang)蝽和(he)(he)(he)(he)煙(yan)粉虱為(wei)主。其(qi)中(zhong)，棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)鈴蟲(chong)在(zai)黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)東部棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)北(bei)疆(jiang)(jiang)局部棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)主害(hai)(hai)代偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)大(da)部、長(chang)江中(zhong)游(you)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)大(da)部棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)。棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)田發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面積9500萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)（次(ci)(ci)）。棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)蚜在(zai)黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)北(bei)部和(he)(he)(he)(he)西部、新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)南(nan)部和(he)(he)(he)(he)長(chang)江流(liu)(liu)域(yu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，苗期和(he)(he)(he)(he)伏(fu)期棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)蚜分別發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)3000萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)4000萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)。葉螨(man)(man)在(zai)新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃河(he)(he)和(he)(he)(he)(he)長(chang)江流(liu)(liu)域(yu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面積5500萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)（次(ci)(ci)）。棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)盲(mang)(mang)蝽在(zai)黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)長(chang)江流(liu)(liu)域(yu)大(da)部棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)有加(jia)重(zhong)(zhong)為(wei)害(hai)(hai)趨(qu)勢，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面積8000萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)（次(ci)(ci)）。煙(yan)粉虱在(zai)湖北(bei)和(he)(he)(he)(he)江蘇沿海(hai)偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，黃河(he)(he)流(liu)(liu)域(yu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)區(qu)(qu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)新(xin)(xin)疆(jiang)(jiang)吐魯番、和(he)(he)(he)(he)田地區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，全國發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面積2000萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝(mu)（次(ci)(ci)）。
棉(mian)(mian)(mian)花病(bing)(bing)害以枯、黃(huang)萎(wei)病(bing)(bing)和(he)苗期病(bing)(bing)害為主(zhu)。其中(zhong)，枯、黃(huang)萎(wei)病(bing)(bing)在黃(huang)河流(liu)域(yu)南部(bu)和(he)西部(bu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區、長江流(liu)域(yu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區偏重發生，局部(bu)連年種(zhong)植的老(lao)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區大發生，黃(huang)河流(liu)域(yu)其他棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區和(he)新疆(jiang)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區中(zhong)等(deng)發生，發生面積約3000萬(wan)畝。苗期病(bing)(bing)害在黃(huang)河流(liu)域(yu)西部(bu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區偏重發生，其余(yu)大部(bu)棉(mian)(mian)(mian)區中(zhong)等(deng)發生，發生面積2000萬(wan)畝。
五、油菜病蟲害
預計油菜(cai)病(bing)蟲害(hai)總體中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積1.2億(yi)畝次(ci)，以菌核(he)病(bing)、霜霉病(bing)和(he)蚜蟲為主。其中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)，菌核(he)病(bing)在(zai)長江(jiang)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)下(xia)游大部(bu)(bu)以及河南南部(bu)(bu)偏(pian)(pian)重(zhong)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，西南大部(bu)(bu)、陜西南部(bu)(bu)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，北(bei)方春油菜(cai)產(chan)區(qu)偏(pian)(pian)輕發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積5300萬(wan)畝。霜霉病(bing)在(zai)四川(chuan)盆地偏(pian)(pian)重(zhong)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，其余西南大部(bu)(bu)、長江(jiang)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)游和(he)江(jiang)淮地區(qu)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，全(quan)國(guo)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積2000萬(wan)畝。蚜蟲在(zai)四川(chuan)、云(yun)南、湖北(bei)產(chan)區(qu)偏(pian)(pian)重(zhong)發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，其他產(chan)區(qu)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)等(deng)至偏(pian)(pian)輕發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)積3200萬(wan)畝。
六、馬鈴薯病蟲害
預計馬鈴薯(shu)病(bing)(bing)(bing)蟲(chong)害總體(ti)為中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積(ji)9000萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)（次），以晚疫病(bing)(bing)(bing)、早(zao)疫病(bing)(bing)(bing)、病(bing)(bing)(bing)毒(du)病(bing)(bing)(bing)、地下(xia)害蟲(chong)等(deng)(deng)為主。其(qi)中(zhong)，晚疫病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)西(xi)(xi)(xi)南、西(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)、東北(bei)主產(chan)區(qu)(qu)偏(pian)重發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，其(qi)他地區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積(ji)約(yue)3200萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。早(zao)疫病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)西(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)、東北(bei)和西(xi)(xi)(xi)南部(bu)分產(chan)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積(ji)1350萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。病(bing)(bing)(bing)毒(du)病(bing)(bing)(bing)在(zai)(zai)西(xi)(xi)(xi)南地區(qu)(qu)局部(bu)偏(pian)重發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，其(qi)他產(chan)區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)以下(xia)程度發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積(ji)約(yue)1000萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。地下(xia)害蟲(chong)在(zai)(zai)西(xi)(xi)(xi)北(bei)、東北(bei)、華北(bei)地區(qu)(qu)中(zhong)等(deng)(deng)發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)面積(ji)約(yue)1300萬(wan)(wan)畝(mu)(mu)。
七、蝗蟲
預(yu)計(ji)2010年農(nong)區蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)蟲發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)程度(du)(du)與(yu)2009年相(xiang)當(dang)或略輕，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)9850萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝，比2009年減少5%。其中(zhong)，東(dong)亞飛(fei)(fei)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)夏蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)在環(huan)渤海(hai)灣(wan)沿海(hai)、華北湖庫和(he)黃(huang)河(he)(he)中(zhong)下游灘區等蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)區局部中(zhong)等發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，其他蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)區偏輕以下程度(du)(du)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)1190萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝，達標(biao)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)830萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝，比2009年減少約9%。天津北大港(gang)，山(shan)東(dong)河(he)(he)口、東(dong)明，河(he)(he)北黃(huang)驊、海(hai)興(xing)、磁縣、安(an)新，河(he)(he)南長垣、濮陽、臺前、武陟(zhi)，陜西(xi)大荔等地(di)可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)出現(xian)(xian)(xian)高密度(du)(du)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)蝻(nan)點(dian)(dian)片(pian)。亞洲飛(fei)(fei)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)總體偏輕發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，農(nong)區發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)約110萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝，比2009年減少30%。新疆阿勒(le)泰、塔(ta)城地(di)區有可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)出現(xian)(xian)(xian)高密度(du)(du)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)蝻(nan)點(dian)(dian)片(pian)；黑龍江和(he)吉林(lin)2009年發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)防(fang)治區域再次(ci)較大面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)嚴重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)的可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)性較小，但不(bu)排除局部出現(xian)(xian)(xian)高密度(du)(du)點(dian)(dian)片(pian)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)的可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)。西(xi)藏飛(fei)(fei)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)總體中(zhong)等發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)150萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝，與(yu)2009年基本(ben)持平。金沙(sha)江、雅礱(long)江、雅魯藏布江等河(he)(he)谷地(di)區的局部將出現(xian)(xian)(xian)高密度(du)(du)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)蝻(nan)點(dian)(dian)片(pian)。北方農(nong)牧交錯區農(nong)區土蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)總體偏重(zhong)(zhong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)，發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)面(mian)(mian)(mian)積(ji)7200萬(wan)(wan)(wan)畝（次(ci)）。內蒙古中(zhong)西(xi)部、河(he)(he)北和(he)山(shan)西(xi)北部、新疆北疆和(he)東(dong)疆、黑龍江中(zhong)西(xi)部、吉林(lin)和(he)遼寧西(xi)部可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)出現(xian)(xian)(xian)高密度(du)(du)蝗(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)(huang)蝻(nan)點(dian)(dian)片(pian)。主要發(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)(fa)生(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)種類和(he)范(fan)圍與(yu)近(jin)年相(xiang)當(dang)。
八、草地螟
預計草地螟一代幼蟲在(zai)東北(bei)、華北(bei)和(he)西北(bei)總體偏輕發(fa)生，有境外蟲源集(ji)中遷(qian)入(ru)的(de)地區不排除局部嚴重發(fa)生的(de)可能，發(fa)生面積(ji)約1500萬畝。
入冬以來，我國北方大部遭遇歷史罕見的低溫和降雪，西南等出現較長時段的干旱天氣，對農作物和病蟲害發生可產生較大影響。各地應密切關注氣候變化和作物生長特點，加強田間調查，實時監測病蟲害發生動態，認真組織分析會商，及時發報中期和短期預報，更好地為領導決策和農民防治做出信息服務。
